Ex-FBI Official Questions If The Nancy Guthrie Doorbell Video Was 'Staged' Due To Suspect's Behavior
By Favour Adegoke on February 13, 2026 at 8:30 PM EST

Experts are now questioning the surveillance footage of Nancy Guthrie's alleged kidnapper as the investigation into the incident intensifies.
The footage, which was released earlier in the week, was the first information from authorities linked to a potential suspect.
However, experts who analyzed the video said it appeared "staged." They also weighed in on the possible motive behind Nancy Guthrie's kidnapping and whether authorities have released all information.
Ex-FBI Agent Claims The Suspect Displayed Behavior That Suggests The Video Was 'Staged'

During a recent conversation on her Katie Couric Media Substack Live, former "Today" show anchor Katie Couric hosted two retired FBI agents who gave their opinion on the viral video of Nancy Guthrie's kidnapping suspect recovered from the front cam of her Tucson home.
While many viewers believed the footage could serve as key evidence in identifying the individual, Kristy Kottis. who worked with the bureau for more than two decades, offered an alternative perspective.
Speaking with her host, she claimed the footage "seemed and felt like a staged video," particularly because of the suspect's behavior.
She pointed to the individual's heavily layered clothing, which appeared designed to conceal their features, as well as the brief moment when they looked directly toward the camera.
Kottis also noted the unusual way the suspect wore their firearm at the front of their waist, which made its presence conspicuously obvious.
"It was an individual, we don't know whether it's a male or female, showing us what they want us to see," she said, per Parade.
Experts Highlight Low Statistics When It Comes To Adult Kidnappings

Seemingly lending credence to Kotti's claim is her colleague Barbara Daly's belief about the unusual nature of the case.
Daly pointed out that "adult kidnappings are extremely rare," adding that Guthrie's age would have made abducting her even more difficult.
As such, the individual responsible may have planned the crime extensively, if, indeed, they were the one who kidnapped the octogenarian.
"To go into a house and try to remove somebody [makes this] a very high-risk crime," the behavioural threat assessment expert shared.
"There's usually pre-planning: knowing the person's patterns, whether there are cameras, the layout of the home, the method of egress," the ex-FBI employee continued. "We almost never see a spur-of-the-moment [kidnapping]."
Experts Believe Money May Have Led To Nancy Guthrie's Kidnapping

During her analysis, Daly noted that she had only handled about three kidnapping cases during her over three-decade career.
All three involved male victims, and the kidnappings appeared to be inspired by money, drugs, or revenge.
In Guthrie's case, Daly believes money might also be a factor, as her kidnapper may have believed she had significant wealth.
This narrative is further supported by the fact that there was a ransom note demanding $6 million in Bitcoin for the release of Guthrie.
The note at the time featured two deadlines; however, they have since come and passed, and there has yet to be any confirmed communication between the family and Guthrie's kidnappers.
It is also unclear if the demands were made by individuals involved in the kidnapping.
A New Note Was Sent Out Demanding 1 Bitcoin In Exchange For Information On The Alleged Kidnapper

A few days after the final deadline on Monday, February 9, a new note was sent to TMZ, asking for 1 Bitcoin for information about Guthrie's kidnapping, particularly the name of the individual involved.
Shortly after, another note was sent out, with the author of the message warning that he was "not being taken seriously."
According to the news outlet, the note was received on Thursday morning and was likely created by the same person who demanded one bitcoin in exchange for information about the octogenarian's kidnapper.
The unidentified individual also expressed worry that he may be "incriminated like that Carlos guy," referencing the FedEx delivery driver, Carlos Palazuelos, who was detained as a person of interest in the Nancy Guthrie case, before being released without any charge.
Experts Believe The Authorities May Be Keeping Some Key Information Secret

In the meantime, the viral front-camera video remains the only piece of information police have released that shows a possible suspect.
Authorities have also recently discovered a black glove near Guthrie's location, which has fueled rumors that it may have been worn by the individual seen in the footage.
However, despite these reports suggesting to many that authorities have little to go on in the case, Kottis believes investigators may be intentionally withholding other crucial information.
"If you're looking at this as a chess match or a poker game, law enforcement can't reveal everything they know," she said, adding, "In our world, it would be a material witness warrant, and it would be quiet."
Kottis also noted that, if this is indeed the case, authorities may be taking this approach to avoid complicating the kidnapping investigation, as there has yet to be any proof of life for Guthrie.
In response, Daly echoed Kottis' view and suggested that heightened public attention on the matter may have shaped the authorities' approach to releasing information.