Who Will Waltz Away With The Mirrorball? Inside The Odds For ‘Dancing With The Stars’ Season 34

"Dancing with the Stars" Season 34 kicks off on September 16, 2025, and fans are already talking about which celebrity might waltz away with the coveted Mirrorball Trophy. With an eclectic mix of athletes, influencers, actors, and reality stars on the roster, this season promises high-energy routines, emotional storylines, and plenty of surprises. Looking back at the last ten champions, the findings show that while technical skill helps, fan support often outweighs footwork. So, who has the best shot at Mirrorball glory this fall? Let’s dive into the frontrunners, dark horses, and those most likely to struggle early on.

The odds and analysis were founded by Casino.Guru and shared with The Blast, using past winner demographics, dance experience, and fanbase size to forecast who has the best shot at winning.  The average winning age is 28, and four of the last ten champions had no formal dance training, proving relatability and popularity can matter just as much as precision.

At the top of the leaderboard is Jordan Chiles, a 24-year-old Olympic gymnast whose athletic background could give her a massive advantage. Known for her choreographed floor routines and undeniable stage presence, Chiles embodies the qualities of past "Dancing with the Stars" champions, including youth, athleticism, and charisma. Gymnasts historically fare well on the show thanks to their flexibility, strength, and comfort with performance. While ballroom dancing presents unique challenges, Chiles’ discipline and ability to adapt make her a natural frontrunner. Pair that with a moderate but passionate fanbase, and the odds favor her becoming one of the standout competitors this season.

Two contestants in particular stand out for their massive fan followings. Alix Earle and Lauren Jauregui. At just 24, Earle is a social media influencer who is no stranger to viral dance trends. With a very large TikTok following, she is perfectly positioned to dominate online conversations each week. While her ballroom technique remains untested, her ability to connect with fans could keep her in the competition long after others stumble.

Jauregui, meanwhile, is best known as a member of Fifth Harmony and brings serious stage experience to the ballroom. At 29, she aligns almost perfectly with the average winner’s age, and her professional choreography background gives her a technical edge. Add in a dedicated fanbase from her girl-group days, and Jauregui is one to watch closely. Both women balance performance skills with built-in audiences, a winning formula according to Casino.Guru’s odds analysis.

While he lacks formal dance training, Robert Irwin enters Season 34 with something past surprise winners have leaned on, and that is likability. At just 21 years old, the Australian wildlife TV host has grown up in the spotlight, following in the footsteps of his late father, Steve Irwin. Robert’s wholesome image, natural charisma, and strong fan support could carry him far in the competition. Casino.Guru’s analysis points out that "Dancing with the Stars" fans often reward personalities who bring warmth and relatability over technical perfection. If Robert’s early performances show growth and determination, he could become this season’s breakout underdog.

Not every celebrity is poised for success, and Casino.Guru’s research suggests several contestants face steep odds. Comedian and actor Andy Richter, with odds at 60:1, has no formal dance training and may struggle to connect with "Dancing with the Stars"’ younger voting base. Actor-musician Corey Feldman, sitting at 50:1, has some performance experience but a relatively small fanbase and limited mainstream appeal, leaving him vulnerable to early elimination.

Actress Elaine Hendrix, remembered fondly for roles in "The Parent Trap" and "Dynasty", enters with odds at 40:1. While nostalgia could earn her some support, history shows that sentiment alone rarely secures the trophy. Finally, Hilaria Baldwin, a yoga and fitness instructor with exposure to movement-based dance routines, comes in at 30:1. Despite her background, her limited ballroom experience and mixed public perception may make it difficult for her to advance far in the competition.

Looking at the last decade of "DWTS" winners, Casino.Guru identified several trends that could shape this season. The average champion age is 28, which aligns closely with competitors like Jordan Chiles, Alix Earle, and Lauren Jauregui. Dance experience, surprisingly, is not always the deciding factor as four of the last ten winners had no formal training, proving that fan engagement often outweighs technical ability. And perhaps most importantly, fanbase strength has consistently driven votes. Contestants with strong or viral followings tend to stick around, even when judges are critical of their technique.

This season, those factors favor Chiles, Earle, Jauregui, and Irwin as the most likely to advance deep into the competition. Still, "Dancing with the Stars" is known for its surprises, and a contestant with grit and a strong growth arc could always steal the spotlight.