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Bernie Sanders at a campaign rally

Bernie Sanders Still Thinks He Can Win the Democratic Nomination

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By Robin Zabiegalski

In an appearance on Late Night with Seth Meyers, Senator and Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders said that he still thinks he can win the Democratic nomination.

Sanders told host Seth Meyers, “We’re about 300 delegates behind. Biden has 1,200. We have 900. There is a path. It is admittedly a narrow path.”

Political journalists, analysts, and pundits have all been saying for weeks that it’s virtually impossible for Sanders to come back from so far behind. But Sanders plans to stay in the race until the path to the nomination is nonexistent, not just narrow.

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The Grassroots Movement

Bernie Sanders rally
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In both the 2016 and the 2020 races, Sanders has relied on a grassroots movement to propel his campaign’s success.

Sanders has stressed that the movement he’s created is the people’s movement, not his alone. This has given him wide support among young progressive voters who believe the government should be providing for the people, not the other way around.

Sanders cited this grassroots movement as the reason he believes he can still win the Democratic nomination, and ultimately the presidency.

Wide Support

Bernie Sanders rally
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Sanders told Meyers that he still has a lot of people supporting him and that those people will continue to support him because his platform addresses the issues that are important to them.

“I would tell you, Seth, that there are a lot of people who are supporting me," Sanders said. "We have a strong grassroots movement who believe that we have got to stay in, in order to continue the fight to make the world know that we need Medicare for All, that we need to raise the minimum wage to a living wage, that we need paid family and medical leave.”

Championing the Issues

Bernie Sanders speaking at Medicare for All event
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Many political journalists, analysts, and pundits have surmised that Sanders is staying in the race to continue to champion the core issues of his platform and to possibly drive Biden’s platform to a more progressive place. In the interview with Meyers on Monday, Sanders pretty much confirmed this reasoning.

Sanders stated, “Campaigns are an important way to maintain that fight and raise public consciousness on those issues. So, that’s, I think, one of the arguments for going forward.”

One of Sanders’s key policies that has taken center stage since the coronavirus crisis is Medicare for All, which he insists is essential to protecting Americans during a pandemic.

Can Sanders Really Win the Nomination?

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Sanders admitted that his path to the nomination is narrow. But just how narrow? So narrow that it’s not probable that Sanders can squeeze through.

FiveThirtyEight, a site that’s known for compiling and interpreting political data, says that there’s a less than 1% chance that Sanders can still win the nomination. This is based on polling data from the states that haven’t yet held their primaries.

In order to win the nomination, Sanders would have to win almost 60% of the remaining delegates. Polling in those states makes a victory of that magnitude look fairly impossible.

However, the fact that the Democratic race is pretty much on hold because of coronavirus means that Sanders has time to win the favor of upcoming voters. His push for Medicare for All, paid leave, and unemployment benefits may win him widespread favor in a country suffering from the impacts of the coronavirus.

So, it not probable that Sanders will win the nomination, but like he said, there’s still a chance.

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